Is The Governors’ Endorsement Of Nigeria’s Tax Reform Just Another ‘Follow-Follow’ Act? (OPINION)

By Isaac Asabor

In a dramatic turn of events, the Nigerian Governors Forum (NGF) recently gave their endorsement to the federal government’s new tax reform policy. On paper, the gesture appears commendable, a collective step toward tackling the country’s daunting revenue challenges. Yet, as with many endorsements in the Nigerian political landscape, one can’t help but wonder: is this a well-thought-out decision rooted in careful analysis, or merely another case of “follow-follow”?

Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio remains one of the lowest globally, hovering around 6%, compared to the 15-20% recommended by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). To put it bluntly, Nigeria is leaving money on the table. However, a sound tax reform is not just about raking in more revenue; it is about doing so in a way that fosters fairness, transparency, and economic growth. Are these the ideals guiding the governors’ decision, or have they simply followed the federal government’s lead without deep reflection?

Taxation, while a fundamental pillar of governance, can be a double-edged sword. Implemented correctly, it funds public services, spurs economic growth, and narrows inequality. But poorly structured taxes can crush businesses, discourage investments, and disproportionately burden the poor. For Nigeria, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

The Tinubu administration’s proposed reforms are ambitious. They aim to simplify the tax system, broaden the tax base, and improve compliance. Laudable as these goals are, they are easier said than done. Nigeria’s economy is plagued by widespread informality, weak institutions, and systemic corruption. Thus, the success of any tax reform hinges on meticulous planning and robust execution.

Herein lies the concern. While the governors’ endorsement might signal political unity, does it truly reflect a shared understanding of the policy’s intricacies and potential impacts on their respective states? More importantly, have they considered how the reforms will affect the ordinary Nigerian already struggling under the weight of inflation and fuel subsidy removal?

Historically, Nigeria’s political class has a penchant for endorsing federal initiatives without rigorous scrutiny. Whether it is out of political expediency, fear of isolation, or sheer indifference, such uncritical endorsements often lead to disastrous outcomes.

Take, for example, the implementation of the Value-Added Tax (VAT) system. While VAT is an essential revenue tool, its administration in Nigeria has long been marred by inefficiencies and inequities. Many states barely receive their fair share of VAT collections, exacerbating regional inequalities. Despite this glaring issue, successive governors have largely acquiesced, failing to demand a more equitable system.

The question then arises: have the governors taken lessons from the past? Did they demand assurances about how the proposed reforms will address the challenges of tax administration, ensure equitable revenue sharing, and protect vulnerable populations? Or did they simply nod along, content to be seen as team players?

At the heart of any tax policy is its impact on the people. For the average Nigerian, taxes are more than just an economic issue; they are a matter of survival. With inflation rates in double digits and the cost of living skyrocketing, even a minor increase in tax rates could push many into deeper poverty.

Governors, as leaders closer to the grassroots, bear a unique responsibility. Unlike federal officials who operate at a macroeconomic level, governors are directly accountable to constituents who bear the brunt of economic policies. It is therefore baffling that they would endorse a tax reform policy without first conducting extensive consultations with key stakeholders in their states.

For instance, how will these reforms affect small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which form the backbone of the Nigerian economy? Will there be measures to ensure that local businesses are not overburdened? Have the governors considered the potential backlash from informal sector operators who have long evaded the tax net but might now face compliance demands?

Another pressing issue is the lack of transparency surrounding the reform’s implementation. While the federal government has outlined its broad objectives, the specifics remain murky. Without clear guidelines, there is a real risk that the reforms could become a tool for exploitation rather than development.

Governors must push for clarity. They should demand detailed breakdowns of how revenues from the reforms will be utilized. Will the funds be channeled toward critical sectors like education, healthcare, and infrastructure, or will they vanish into the abyss of bureaucratic inefficiency and corruption?

Countries like Rwanda and South Africa offer valuable lessons on tax reform. In Rwanda, a simplified tax code and investments in digital infrastructure have significantly improved compliance rates. South Africa, despite its challenges, has managed to maintain a relatively high tax-to-GDP ratio by fostering trust between the government and taxpayers.

These examples underscore the importance of building public trust. Nigerians must believe that their taxes will be used judiciously. This requires not only accountability at the federal level but also proactive governance at the state level. Governors, therefore, have a critical role to play in ensuring that tax revenues are transparently and effectively utilized within their states.

The governors’ endorsement of the tax reform policy should not mark the end of their involvement. On the contrary, it should be the beginning of a concerted effort to ensure its success. This means engaging with stakeholders, addressing public concerns, and holding the federal government accountable.

Firstly, governors must organize town hall meetings to educate their constituents about the reforms. Many Nigerians remain skeptical about taxation, viewing it as an unjust imposition rather than a civic duty. Transparent communication can help change this narrative.

Secondly, they must advocate for equitable revenue sharing. States that contribute significantly to the national tax pool deserve a fair share of the returns. This is particularly critical for oil-producing states, which often bear the environmental and social costs of resource extraction.

Lastly, governors must ensure that tax revenues are used to deliver tangible benefits. Whether it is building schools, fixing roads, or providing healthcare, these visible investments can help build public trust and improve compliance rates.

The endorsement of Nigeria’s tax reform by the governors could be a turning point for the country’s economy. However, it risks becoming just another “follow-follow” act if not backed by genuine commitment and critical oversight.

Governors must rise to the occasion, moving beyond political expediency to embrace their role as custodians of public welfare. Taxation, after all, is not just about revenue collection; it’s about building a fairer, more prosperous society. Whether the governors’ endorsement will contribute to this vision remains to be seen. For now, Nigerians can only hope that their leaders’ actions are guided by wisdom, integrity, and a genuine desire for progress.